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Shes a winner in West Virginia..

post from conversations with an unapologetic black liberal on 13 May 2008 07:43:32 PM. © conversations with an unapologetic black liberal

Quelle Surprise!! Clinton wins West Virginia!!!And she wins it big..whoop de do!!

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http://blackliberal.wordpress.com/2008/05/13/shes-a-winner-in-west-virginia/

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Preener Obama

post from MyDD on 13 May 2008 07:42:51 PM. © MyDD

O, showing it in jeans for the photo-op, saying "no flash". Do we really have to have to nominate our version of Bush? I really miss that good old site, "Media Whores Online." Update [2008-5-13 19:15:46 by Jerome Armstrong]: Heh, Obama[...]

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http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/mydd/~3/289766403/009

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Late Afternoon/Early Evening Open Thread

post from Daily Kos on 13 May 2008 07:38:32 PM. © Daily Kos

The Veepstakes in the Senate: who'd accept the offer, and who wouldn't. A TPM reader makes an interesting point.

Don't you find it odd that three Republican Senators (Thad Cochran, 70; Pete Domenici, 76; Chuck Grassley, 74) all noted that they were too old to be Vice President. Kind of odd given the circumstances of the current Republican nominee...

Consider this open thread, well, open.

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http://feeds.dailykos.com/~r/dailykos/index/~3/289766137/781

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Networks Call It for Hillary

post from Talking Points Memo on 13 May 2008 07:33:00 PM. © Talking Points Memo

Exit polls point to 2 to 1 victory for Clinton. [...]

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http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/Talking-Points-Memo/~3/289780696/194866.php

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Early W. Va. Exit Polling

post from TalkLeft on 13 May 2008 07:33:00 PM. © TalkLeft

The early West Virginia exit polls are out from the Associated Press. What stands out to me:

If they had to choose, seven in 10 voters said they'd prefer that their candidate wins the Democratic presidential nomination, even if the race continues for months. A quarter said they'd prefer the race ends as soon as possible, even if their candidate loses the nomination.

...Barely a third of Clinton supporters say they'd vote for Obama over John McCain in a November matchup. As many claim they'd vote for Republican John McCain and a quarter said they would not vote for president. If that horse race were Clinton vs. McCain, half of Obama backers say they'd vote for Clinton, about three in 10 say they'd back McCain and the rest would stay home.

The voters are 95% white, 50% rural and 40% are over age 60. 70% do not have college degrees.

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http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/TalkleftThePoliticsOfCrime/~3/289766405/964

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West Virginia Primary Open Thread

post from Crooks and Liars on 13 May 2008 07:30:59 PM. © Crooks and Liars

West Virginia Primary-PresidentDemocraticREPORTING: 0%CandidateVotes%DClinton, Hillary00%3Obama, Barack00%2TOTAL VOTES0Powered by IntoxiNation and Crooks and LiarsUPDATED: Tue May 13, 2008 at 07:29 pm ESTsetTimeout(function(){ $('#election-71').load('/misc/electionupdate.php?elect=71&outputit=1?rand='+(new Date).valueOf());},120000);

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http://www.crooksandliars.com/2008/05/13/west-virginia-primary-open-thread/

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On Fox News, Steele misled on McCain's opposition
to tax cuts, support for spending cuts

post from Media Matters for America on 13 May 2008 07:28:18 PM. © Media Matters for America

On the May 12 edition of Fox News' America's Election HQ, Fox News contributor and GOPAC chairman Michael Steele assertedthat Sen. John McCain was"against the Bush tax cuts because it didn't address spending." Infact, while McCain now says he voted against the Bush tax cuts because theywere not paired with spending cuts --an assertion by McCain thatmany in the media have uncritically repeated -- it was notthe reason he gave in 2001 on the floor of the Senate. In a May 26, 2001, floorstatement,[...]

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http://feeds.mediamatters.org/~r/mediamatters/latest/~3/289754794/200805130009

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Exits

post from Talking Points Memo on 13 May 2008 07:12:00 PM. © Talking Points Memo

Early exit poll demographic data highlights from the AP. Here's one set of numbers that jumped out at me.RACE, GENDER AS VOTING FACTORSOne in four Clinton voters and about one in 10 Obama voters said race was an important factor in their vote.About one[...]

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http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/Talking-Points-Memo/~3/289780698/194864.php

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Whom Do You Trust Not the GOP

From Rasmussen:

American voters now trust the Democrats on all ten key electoral issues tracked regularly by Rasmussen Reports. Last month, the GOP’s had an advantage on two issues.

Not surprisingly, the economy is still seen as the most important issue in this year’s presidential campaign--76% of voters say it is a Very Important issue. The Democrats now have a 14-point advantage over the Republicans on this issue, up from eight-points a month ago. Data from the Rasmussen Consumer Index shows that consumer confidence is currently hovering near record lows. Not only is confidence low, three-out-of-four Americans believe that economic conditions are getting worse.

Government Ethics and Corruption is a Very Important issue for 71% of Likely Voters. The Democrats have a huge advantage on this issue—45% now trust them while just 26% prefer the GOP. That lead has also widened since last month, when the Democrats had only a six-point advantage.

Perhaps the biggest surprise comes from the fact that Democrats are now trusted more when it comes to National Security and the War on Terror, an issue long considered a GOP stronghold. The latest polling, however, shows that 49% of voters now trust the Democrats more on this issue while 42% trust the Republicans more. This shift comes at the same time that confidence in the War on Terror has fallen significantly.

This Rasmussen post is chock full of fundamentals... on the war in Iraq, for example:

This month, the Democrats hold an 11-point lead over the Republicans on that issue. Last month, the Democrats led by just two points on that issue. A separate tracking survey has consistently found that six-out-of-ten Americans want troops home from Iraq within a year.

Also, there's more support for the concept that no one wants to be a Republican:

The trust on issues data reflects another significant trend of Election 2008—there is a growing number of people who consider themselves to be Democrats. In fact, the Democrats now have the largest partisan advantage over the Republicans since Rasmussen Reports began tracking this data on a monthly basis nearly six years ago.

Scott Rasmussen notes this may well have a bigger impact on the congressional than the presidential race. McCain outperforms the Republican party on virtually all the issues, and at this moment in time is trusted more than either Democrat on the economy and Iraq.

Nonetheless, John (100 years in Iraq) McCain has himself a big problem: Americans don't like his party. And, whether McCain likes it or not, he's running as a Republican. Worse than that, on policy, he's running as a Bush Republican. As he tries to thread the needle between running away from Bush and consolidating his base, the intrinsic illogic of McCain's candidacy will come home to roost.

But that's for later. For now, the fundamentals are making Republicans sweat everywhere, from paleo-Republicans like Newt Gingrich to neo-Republicans like Joe Lieberman (whose leverage disappears the day after the election).

This is going to be a rough year on Republicans. Too bad for them.

Read The Full Article:
http://feeds.dailykos.com/~r/dailykos/index/~3/289752548/782

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Obama To Speak In MO, BEFORE The Polls Close

I wonder about this. CNN is reporting Obama will speak from Missouri within the hour BEFORE`the West Virginia polls close. I believe that is a mistake. Does Obama really need to spin now? He needs to fight for these voters. This is not the way to do it. (6:15)Obama speaking now. Talking about Dems not being divided and clear choice in November. Sounds like the standard stump speech.

Imo, this is bad from the Obama camp.

Exit poll - Clinton wins 69% of the white vote, 71% of women. This is a biiiiig won.

Exit poll. Experience voters - Clinton 93-3. Changers voters - Obama 53-45.

Jerome Armstrong makes a great point:

Since it looks like Clinton is being predicted to gain over 60 percent of the votes in WV, I thought I'd list which other state primaries have given such high margins:

* Arkansas (70%) Clinton

* Georgia (67%) Obama

* Illinois (65%) Obama

* Virginia (64%) Obama

* Maryland (62%) Obama

* Mississippi (61%) Obama

This makes the likely result of the West Virginia result a bad one for Obama. It can not be explained away, even by the Obama News Network.