A Mandate for Progressivism and a Repudiation of
Conservatism

post from Firedoglake on 05 November 2008 01:36:33 AM. © Firedoglake

The last eight years saw modern Conservatism tried in its purest form. Tax cuts for the rich, endless war, get rid of as much regulation as possible and pack the courts and government with people picked not for their competence, but for their adherence[...]

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f-conservatism/

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More Updates on MT, MO, NC, IN

post from FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right on 05 November 2008 01:34:00 AM. © FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right

Montana: Gallatin, where Bozeman is, has 0% reporting. That county should favor McCain. McCain appears to be narrowly holding Yellowstone, where Billings is. But Montana is ultratight and will go late.

Missouri: Obama trails by roughly 12,500 votes with 96% in. 88% is reporting in Jackson (heavy Democratic) and St. Louis County is not all in, with Obama leading it by 17 points and 93% reporting. Obama may pull this out, but it'll be exceptionally close.

North Carolina: Obama will probably hold on here. The North Carolina Board of Elections site has Obama up 11,000 or so with 100 of 100 counties reporting. But the nets haven't called it. This is probably the best bet of the four -- the Tarheel State going blue for Barack Obama.

Indiana: The outstanding vote is in Lake, Jasper and Allen. Jasper is more pronounced McCain right now, at 59-40. But the county is very small, and 72% precincts reporting. Allen is narrowly McCain, and not anywhere close enough to flip the roughly 23,000 votes by which Obama leads. Lake, a hugely Democratic county, still has a few precincts out.

We always had a good feeling about Indiana when we saw it in our travels. This was a state where Obama had the ground game all to himself. With us predicting a slight win for McCain in the state, but no ground game taken into effect, and with a late minute canvassing push from FiveThirtyEight in Gary, Indiana looks like it'll go Obama.

Canvassers in Gary, today:

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http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/more-updates-on-mt-mo-nc-in.html

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The Burdens of History, Reconciliation, and
Fatality

post from TPMCafe on 05 November 2008 01:33:00 AM. © TPMCafe

Amid the euphoria last night in Chicago, one network's cameras zoomed in on an elderly black man who simply stood there weeping. Jesse Jackson wept quietly that way, too. So did I.

Everything in Barack Obama's bearing and speech showed he understood what we were feeling. Last night he shouldered the burdens of history and fatality with a gravitas tand, I thought, a sadness reminiscent of Lincoln's.

I couldn't help recalling that during the 1990 inauguration of David Dinkins as New York City's first African-American mayor, the elderly Rev. Gardner Taylor of Brooklyn's Concord Avenue Baptist Church prayed,. "God of our weary years, God of our silent tears," he began. Those opening words bore so much that I heard nothing more.

But Dinkins' mayoralty failed. It failed not only because, for all his personal dignity, he wasn't quite cut out for the job, but mainly because swift undercurrents, more economic and political than racist, undid him.

Barack Obama is far more ready to be President than Dinkins was to be mayor. But the undertows ready to devour him are far more powerful, too. He has no illusions about that; he has the faith and strengths necessary to face them.

But doo we? Are we who supported him ready to reach out as he did last night to those who opposed him? I point that question ia little n a special "morning after" issue of the social-democratic quarterly Dissent. Others share their impressions and analyses there as well. Go there now.

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Celebrating

post from Daily Kos on 05 November 2008 01:28:06 AM. © Daily Kos

CNN just had shots of the big celebration here in Berkeley. Funny, I was about to write about the noisy celebration right outside my door.

It really is quite the party.

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Senate Results Thread

post from Open Left - Front Page on 05 November 2008 01:27:51 AM. © Open Left - Front Page

Key Senate RacesAll times eastern. First poll closing time listed.StateReportingDem %Rep[...]

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Change Comes to America

post from OutrageNation on 05 November 2008 01:18:00 AM. © OutrageNation

Congratulations America - you have a new president. I can?t remember when I?ve been prouder to be an American. What an awesome feeling.

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Washington State Report: Rossi Crushed, Reichert
Behind

post from Open Left - Front Page on 05 November 2008 01:17:24 AM. © Open Left - Front Page

Dino Rossi just came on TV, losing 51-49, and talked about how his campaign will go on throughout[...]

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President Elect

post from Across the Pond: A Feminist Blog on 05 November 2008 01:16:49 AM. © Across the Pond: A Feminist Blog

It’s 6 am in the UK, and I’m sleepy and weepy and more sentimental about my country than I have ever felt in my adult life. If 44% of voters in rural counties in Southern red states can vote for Obama, then America, and by extension the world, may not be the place [...]

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http://femsacrossthepond.wordpress.com/2008/11/05/president-elect/

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Obama wins

I was just thinking - It was an amazing night. The fears of 2000/2004 returned. How were states really going to go? Was Georgia really in play? Where's Florida? Were those machines fixed? It has been hours and Virginia seems to be using a crayon and stone tablet to add up their vote totals.

Pennsylvania was the first big swing state that clearly went for Obama. For weeks, the talking heads were trying to make this close (this state and really this whole race) but it wasn't. It never was. This race hadn't been close for over a month yet the talking heads were just talking and talking about John McCain's surge. NOT! There wasn't any significant surge. For reasons that were unclear to me, McCain threw time and money into Pennsylvania in the last 3 - 4 weeks. Why? None of the poll numbers hinted that Pennsylvania was close. Some polls had McCain down by 10 point yet he and Sarah Palin was out there (and don't forget Joe the Plumber). The final vote total revealed that there were no surprises in Pa. Obama won by 11.

About an hour later, Ohio went for Obama. I found it interesting that there was so little talk about Ohio. The talking heads didn't go on and on over Ohio, why? Ohio was really interesting with 2004 as a back drop. The conservative Cincinnati vs. the liberal Cleveland. There was so much to talk about that would have been interesting and informative but we got almost nothing. Then the real waiting had begun.

My question for all of you is - When did John McCain know that this race was over? When did he know that he lost to Bush for the 3rd time? We all know that John McCain lost to Bush in 2000. I think that you can say that McCain wanted to run in 2004 but it wasn't politically possible. So, he lost again in 2004. Now with Bush being so unpopular, President Bush drug McCain and other Republicans down in this election. Elizabeth Dole is a great example. She really didn't do anything wrong. Incumbents usually lose for screwing up not for being worthless. If Bush could have gotten his approval numbers into the low 40's he would have helped McCain. In the end, John McCain lost not only to Barack Obama but also to George W. Bush, again.

As I mentioned in an earlier post, just before 10 pm EST that Barack Obama had passed the magic number. He was sitting at just over 200 electoral votes and California, Oregon, Washington State and Hawaii were clearly his but not counted yet because those polls hadn't closed. The writing was on the wall. The game was over. The fat lady was singing. Elvis had left the building. It didn't matter how Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri and Montana went. Barack Obama didn't need them for victory but he did need them for a mandate.

Tonight, Barack Obama received a mandate from the American people. There are still a few races which are too close to call (Al Franken) and a couple of states that remain too close to call (Indiana, Missouri and North Carolina). America with your young and old, rich and poor, black, white, and brown party tonight because we need to wake up and figure out how to change this country that we love.

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http://www.liberaloasis.com/2008/11/obama_wins.php

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