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Obama Not a Factor, But Independents Flood to GOP

post from Taylor Marsh on 03 November 2009 08:38:01 PM. © Taylor Marsh

multiple updates below Via CNN: In Virginia, where 30 percent of voters identify themselves as independent; 65 percent cast their ballots for CNN’s projected winner, Republican Bob McDonnell. That’s according to early CNN Exit Poll data.[...]

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http://www.taylormarsh.com/2009/11/03/obama-not-a-factor-but-independents-flood-t
o-gop/

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Question 1 - Early Results

post from Daily Kos on 03 November 2009 08:33:22 PM. © Daily Kos

Early numbers from Maine:

Let's hope this holds up and equality is preserved in Maine.

For more discussion on Question 1, see Spud1's diary.

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http://feeds.dailykos.com/~r/dailykos/index/~3/uczLfPh9RHc/-Question-1Early-Resul
ts

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A loss in Maine on marriage equality

post from AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth on 03 November 2009 08:33:00 PM. © AMERICAblog News| A great nation deserves the truth

AP called it.

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http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Americablog/~3/adlNRYlAO_8/loss-in-maine-on-marria
ge-equality.html

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New Jersey Polls Close

post from MyDD on 03 November 2009 08:28:18 PM. © MyDD

Polls have now closed in New Jersey. Marc Ambinder concisely wraps up the exit polls (which, by early indications, found a very tight race) over at Twitter: "In NJ, moderates split vote; independents went for Christie by 20 pts. More women voted than[...]

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http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/mydd/~3/fEgulULqJ7o/7970

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New Jersey, New York, Maine Results Thread

post from MyDD on 03 November 2009 08:28:18 PM. © MyDD

New Jersey Governor Jon Corzine (D): 574,297 votes (44.7 percent) Chris Christie (R): 633,672 (49.3 percent) Chris Daggett (I): 67,070 (5.2 percent) With 54 percent of precincts reporting as of 9:45 PM Eastern Maine Marriage Equality (vote to[...]

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Tweeting Election Night

post from MyDD on 03 November 2009 08:28:15 PM. © MyDD

For those interested in more continuous coverage of tonight's election results, I'll be twittering through the night @jonathanhsinger. new TWTR.Widget({ version: 2, type: 'profile', rpp: 4, interval: 6000, width: 250, height:[...]

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NJ Live Blog

post from Talking Points Memo on 03 November 2009 08:28:00 PM. © Talking Points Memo

8:28 PM: So far, the internals from the NJ exit polls show some good signs for Christie, particularly his running very strong among independents. But sources tell me the toplines of the exits are literally neck and neck. Less than a point separating[...]

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p

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New Jersey: Polls Have Now Closed

post from Daily Kos on 03 November 2009 08:26:18 PM. © Daily Kos

UPDATE: As actual precincts come in, the numbers, not shockingly, are tightening up.

Election Results--New Jersey Governor--11/3/09--3% Reporting

Chris Christie (R) 36,958 (49%)
Gov. Jon Corzine (D) 32,268 (43%)
Chris Daggett (I) 5478 (7%)

Election Results--New Jersey Governor--11/3/09--0% Reporting

Chris Christie (R) 8519 (62%)
Gov. Jon Corzine (D) 3064 (29%)
Chris Daggett (I) 1125 (8%)

The polls have now closed in New Jersey. Obviously, the first returns above will be updated, since this is a fraction of a fraction of the precincts reporting.

The exit poll rumors are floating about. Christie, as expected, cleaned up against Independents, but in the final analysis they were less than 30% of the vote.

There are a lot more Democrats than Republicans in the state, however, and thus the conventional wisdom is that the race is too close to call, and could take a long, long time to sort out.

There are also, as in Virginia, legislative races in the state tonight. We'll keep one eye on them, as well. We'll also provide updates to the vote totals as they come in.

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http://feeds.dailykos.com/~r/dailykos/index/~3/0zEM_AaSNZ8/-New-Jersey:-Polls-Hav
e-Now-Closed

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New Jersey Returns Thread

This is a thread for returns on the New Jersey Governor's race. Polls closed at 8 p.m. eastern.New[...]

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ns-thread

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VA-Gov and VA-Legislature: McDonnell Wins, Lege
Results To Come

UPDATE: MSNBC just called it for McDonnell. Not a surprise, indeed, it's a bit of a surprise that it took an hour. A couple of notes from the legislative elections that should chill folks a little bit. The House candidate who made the infamous "ballots or bullets" comment back in the summer is only down 53-47 to Albert Pollard. Also, it looks like two seats are sure to change hands, but in different directions. In rural HD-03, Democrat Dan Bowling is done. Meanwhile, scandal-tarred Republican Phillip Hamilton is trailing badly with about a third of the vote in.

Election Results--Virginia Governor--11/3/09--36% Reporting

Bob McDonnell (R) 396,539 (62%)
Creigh Deeds (D) 241,085 (38%)

Election Results--Virginia Governor--11/3/09--8% Reporting

Bob McDonnell (R) 81,358 (64%)
Creigh Deeds (D) 46,670 (36%)

(Note: Still very early--bulk of vote coming from rural areas. Three districts reporting the most are the 5th, 6th and 9th)

Election Results--Virginia Governor--11/3/09--0.8% Reporting

Bob McDonnell (R) 6124 (67%)
Creigh Deeds (D) 3064 (33%)

So, Election Night 2009 begins in the commonwealth of Virginia, where the state's off-year election cycle selects a new Governor, plus two other constitutional officers (Lt. Governor and Attorney General) as well. Late polls in the race suggested a Republican sweep of these three offices.

In addition, the State House of Delegates will be up for grabs, with the GOP expected to pad their 55-45 majority (technically, it is 53-45-2, but the two Independents are GOP-friendly).

The early numbers are just that, really, really early. The exit polls are not declaring a winner yet (a potentially good sign--since all indications were that Deeds was going to get thumped).

That said, they are making some telling points about this election, and it looks like Markos was right when he made this point earlier today:

2010 will be a base election. The party best able to turn out its core voters has the best chance of winning. If Democrats want to see a repeat of Virginia at the national level next year, then they should cave to Blue Dogs and the media nabobs and water down reform efforts (whether in energy, health care, financial services, or immigration).

What have the exit polls told us thus far? One fifth of voters were under the age of 30 last year. This year? Just 10% of the electorate. Nearly a third of the Virginia electorate were minority voters last year. This year? 20%.

Daily Kos will follow the numbers all evening, while Democrats continue holding out hope that this will not be a quick call.