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WW Grainger: A Healthy Infrastructure Buy For Any
Recession-Resistant Portfolio

The futures market was so bad this morning, it triggered the “limit down” rule - when futures trading is frozen. With no end in sight to the string of negative headlines, investors worldwide are calculating the impacts of a sustained…



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McCain Forgets Who Endorsed Him

From The Bottled Hot Water Collection*:

On October 26, John McCain appeared on Meet the Press and proudly boasted of the endorsement of five former Republican secretaries of state...except he couldn't quite remember all their names:


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* The Bottled Hot Water Collection™ highlights goofy and bizarre moments of both McCain and Palin, inspired by McCain's "bottled hot water" in early June.



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Palin Blows Off Fox News, Lies About Agreeing To
Appear With Megyn Kelly

Last week, Fox News host Megyn Kelly complained that Gov. Sarah Palin (R-AZ) hadn’t done enough interviews on Fox. “She has yet to do any Fox daytime. She has not gone on this broadcast. She hasn?t gone on Fox and Friends. She hasn?t done Brit Hume?s show,” Kelly said. Days later, Kelly announced that Palin had finally granted her an interview to be aired today at 9am.

This morning, however, Kelly announced that Palin had backed out at the last minute, less than 24 hours before their scheduled 10-minute sit-down on Sunday:

Now on Friday, we promised you an interview with Gov. Sarah Palin. We did that because the McCain camp promised us, after weeks of negotiating, that the governor would sit down with me in Ohio on Sunday. On Saturday, less than 24 hours before the interview, the McCain camp canceled, saying that the the governor would not meet with us after all. They claimed that the governor suddenly did not have any time over the coming 72 hours to make good on her agreement of a 10-minute sit-down. We apologize for the McCain camp breaking its word. Our viewers certainly deserve better.

Watch it:
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Palin has had more than enough time to sit for softball interviews. Just last week, she added to her “near-daily encounters with Fox’s Sean Hannity” and granted a fourth interview to him — who asked what it felt like to have “thousands and thousands of people await you out there” — and another with Greta van Susteren — who asked Todd Palin if his wife was “tough.”

Palin even had time this weekend for a seven-minute phone conversation with comedians posing as French president Nicholas Sarkozy. But when it comes to finding ten minutes to meet with someone who might be a tough interviewer — even on Fox News — like Kelly, Palin suddenly has no time left in her schedule.



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State Polls, Final Electoral College Prediction

Colorado
Obama 51, McCain 47 (Fox News)

Florida
McCain 50, Obama 49 (Fox News)
Obama 47, McCain 45 (Quinnipiac)
Obama 50, McCain 48 (PPP)
Obama 48, McCain 46 (Zogby)

Missouri
Obama 49, McCain 49 (Fox News)
Obama 48, McCain 48 (SurveyUSA)
Obama 47, McCain 46 (Zogby)

North Carolina
McCain 50, Obama 49 (Fox News)
Obama 50, McCain 49 (PPP)
McCain 49, Obama 48 (Zogby)

Ohio
Obama 49, McCain 49 (Fox News)
Obama 50, McCain 48 (PPP)
Obama 48, McCain 46 (SurveyUSA)
Obama 50, McCain 43 (Quinnipiac)
Obama 50, McCain 44 (Zogby)

Virginia
Obama 51, McCain 47 (Fox News)
Obama 51, McCain 45 (Zogby)
Obama 52, McCain 46 (PPP)
Obama 50, McCain 46 (SurveyUSA)

Pennsylvania
Obama 53, McCain 45 (PPP)
Obama 52, McCain 42 (Quinnipiac)
Obama 54, McCain 40 (Zogby)
Obama 52, McCain 46 (Rasmussen)
Obama 51, McCain 44 (SurveyUSA)

Georgia
McCain 50, Obama 48 (PPP)
McCain 52, Obama 45 (SurveyUSA)

Montana
McCain 47, Obama 48 (PPP)

Nevada
Obama 51, McCain 43 (Zogby)

Indiana
McCain 49, Obama 44 (Zogby)

Note: Zogby was taken on Nov. 2, SurveyUSA on Oct. 29-31, PPP on Oct. 31-Nov. 2, Fox News on Nov. 2, Quinnipiac on Oct. 27 - Nov. 2

The latest polls show Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Colorado are in Obama's pocket. He's cracked 50% in all the polls in those states. These states are states that guarantee Obama the presidency. So, again, the question is not whether Obama will win but by how much.

Indiana looks to be in McCain's column now, and Georgia remains so. Nevada is in Obama's.

Ohio leans Obama. Florida is very, very close, with a slight Obama lean. Because Florida has show a consistent Obama lean in recent days and weeks, I feel confident enough in putting it in Obama's column rather than the tossup category.

Missouri is razor close. North Carolina is razor close. And now Montana is, too (thanks in part to Ron Paul's name being on the ballot). If Paul polls around 4%, Obama only needs to win 48.01% of the vote to guarantee victory there.

So from my map last week, I only want to change Indiana to red, and Montana to toss up:

<p><strong>><a rel="nofollow" href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

It would be pretty cheeky of me to not make a final prediction including the toss ups. So here goes:

Montana and Missouri goes for McCain, North Carolina goes for Obama. Obama wins 353, McCain wins 185.

There is one variable: turnout. This works both ways: will McCain voters be as motivated, will they consider the race over and not bother to vote, or wait in line? On the flip side, will Obama voters get complacent and feel like the result is a foregone conclusion? Obama has a lot of "low propensity" voters who do not have a history of voting. Slight differences in turnout can easily flip these razor close states like Missouri, North Carolina, Montana, and even Florida.

For those of us looking for a huge Obama win there is the question of how great an electoral college landslide there could be. Can Obama pick up Indiana and Georgia and North Dakota and Arizona as well as those states mentioned above? It's possible, but I think it's going to take just the right mix of Obama turnout and McCain depressed turnout. Right now it appears improbable. But not impossible.

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http://liberaljournal.blogspot.com/2008/11/state-polls-final-electoral-college.ht
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Commodity Prices Sinking to 52-Year Low

Commodity prices are bracing for their worst month in 52 years as global demand continues to slide.

The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index - a measure of 19 global commodities from light crude to lean hogs - fell 24% in October, Bloomberg…



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Michael Zucker: Palin's loyalty: to America,
Alaska, or self

A BUZZFLASH READER CONTRIBUTION
by Michael Zucker

Senator John McCain's campaign has morphed into a tragic cartoon with its lead character: his mockable running mate Alaska governor Sarah Palin. There's an irony here. She has been hurling false policy attributes and insinuations of anti-Americanism at Barack Obama and his supporters. At the same time, there is increasing evidence that her own political history is corrupt and morally bankrupt.

This wicked witch of the north falsely accused Barack Obama of "palling around with terrorists." The Republican vice-presidential nominee, who likes to wink but insists she will never blink, recently said that she enjoyed visiting "pro America parts of the country," implying that our geography is split between the good guys and anti-Americans.
Bookmark/Search this post with: buzzflash buzzflash | delicious delicious | digg digg | yahoo yahoo | technorati technorati Technorati Tags: Reader Contribution Michael Zucker

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Tepid in Tampa

TAYLOR MARSHFeel the wave?...and I’m not talking about John McCain.About 30 minutes before John McCain is scheduled to lead a rally outside Raymond James Stadium, looks like there’s maybe 1,000 people here. What’s up with that? On the[...]

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Vote Tomorrow and get free coffee from Starbucks


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http://www.demconwatchblog.com/2008/11/vote-tomorrow-and-get-free-coffee-from.htm
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Tomorrow's The Day We Get Back Our Dignity As A
Nation


This video shows exactly how the Republican Party will try to steal the election tomorrow... many of their tactics though not counting the electronic way pioneered by Chuck Hagel:


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The Daily Muck

Supporters of former Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham (R-CA) are pushing for a presidential pardon for Cunningham's tax evasion and conspiracy convictions. Cunningham, who is serving an eight year and four month sentence, has asked for his sentence to be commuted and the Department of Justice has received eight letters from supporters urging for a pardon. (UPI)

Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) said Saturday that the recently convicted Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK) would face expulsion proceedings in the Senate. Stevens, in a contentious re-election campaign, is battling to stay in the Senate as is. He's going on air Monday night in Alaska with a two minute ad to win voter support despite the conviction. (Roll Call/The Hill)

Former Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick may have more trouble coming his way. Kilpatrick's records from his nonprofit foundation have been subpoenaed by federal officials and government prosecutors are asking Kilpatrick's defense lawyers about how they were paid. Kilpatrick is currently serving a 120 day sentence for perjury and obstruction of justice charges. (UPI)

The former juror in Sen. Ted Stevens' (R-AK) federal corruption trial who was replaced after her father died has been ordered to court. The juror is being asked to answer questions about why she dropped off the radar and did not respond to phone calls from court officials. (Washington Post)

Osama bin Laden's media secretary was found guilty by a military tribunal in a verdict announced today. Ali Hamza al Bahlul is the second man to be convicted by a Guantanamo Bay jury, and faces life in prison. (Reuters)

Two former Alaska state legislators called on John McCain Friday to apologize for his roll in the Trooper-Gate scandal. The legislators, a House Republican and a Senate Democrat, scolded the McCain campaign for trying to quash the investigation and for deriding the former Public Safety Commissioner at the center of the scandal, Walt Monegan. (Anchorage Daily News)

In other Duke Cunningham news, a brief from a federal judge was recently unsealed revealing criticism of the government in the former representative's case. The brief accused the prosecutors of "mischaracterizing substantial, relevant portions" of the case. It also revealed that related convict Long Island financier Thomas Kontogiannis had been cooperating with Justice Department lawyers in New York. (San Diego Union-Tribune)

The director of operations for military commissions at Guantanamo Bay, Brig. Gen Thomas Hartmann, has filed his resignation from the post. Hartmann has been accused of favoring the prosecution during the trials and being both abusive and bullying towards subordinates -- behavior that the Defense Department is investigating. (The Miami Herald)

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown met Sunday in Saudi Arabia with former Guantanamo Bay detainees. Brown is currently touring the Gulf states in an effort to extend funding for the International Monetary Fund. (AFP)



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